Welcome to NMAP
A Climate Debate Imbalance?
The HBO comedy show Last Week Tonight with John Oliver made a mockery of media false balance in its climate science coverage. Oliver was also interviewed on the science podcast Inquiring Minds, and host Chris Mooney noted:
"I feel like they said in 4 minutes something I've been saying for 10 years with like tens or hundreds of thousands of words; what they said was that there's no debate over global warming, so to have these 'balanced' 1-on-1 TV debates is just preposterous."
Citing the 97% expert consensus result from a paper published
last year, John Oliver illustrated what a statistically representative
climate change debate would look like, and to great comic effect. (from the Guardian)
NEW: Results of the NMAP Survey of Canadian Local Governments are now available. Click here to see the fact sheets for all Canadian regions.
Research of note
The report "Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability; April 2014", by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concludes that ice caps are melting, sea ice in the Arctic is collapsing, water supplies are .under stress, heat waves and heavy rains are intensifying, coral reefs are dying, and many fish and other creatures are migrating toward the poles, or in some cases going extinct.
Some of the most extreme predictions of global warming are unlikely to materialize, new scientific research published in Nature Geoscience has suggested, but the world is still likely to be in for a temperature rise of double that regarded as safe. That would still lead to catastrophe across large swaths of the Earth. Click here to see the Guardian article.
The MC3 project has published a set of best practice case studies in community and local government actions for climate change.Click here to visit the MC3 website.
CO2 emissions rises mean dangerous climate change now almost certain. Research by the Global Carbon Project says emissions growth placing world on path to warm between 4 and 6C.
Climate change has become the chief global environmental issue. The climate change discussion has grown from accepting the science and thinking about attenuation to acknowledging that we now have to adapt and plan for environmental change. We need to adapt to new and changing conditions.
The adaptation imperative requires new and novel approaches to planning and infrastructure development and it requires leadership and innovation in governance. Local governments are often most responsible for infrastructure and land use planning and will play a central role in shaping the response to adaptation.
In Canada leadership on adaptation issues is increasingly coming from local governments.
There is a growing acknowledgement that adaptation and resiliency strategies developed and implemented at the local level are essential for supporting sustainable infrastructure, adaptive land use planning, and the continued provision of the broad range of services that local governments supply.
Canadian local governments are on the frontline of the adaptation and resiliency imperative, but are they planning for change? There is a need for research that not only provides an image of what local governments are doing, but also identifies requirements, options and planning strategies. NMAP works to help address these gaps.
The need is for research that not only provides an image of the present situation, but also identifies the requirements of local governments, planning options and policy strategies. The National Municipal Adaptation Project works to develop research that does this.
The need for planning
Our view of planning is comprehensive – we see it as the core activity in local decision-making about how to best provide and support the physical systems that support community economic, social and environmental public services. We also see it as a strategic activity that is ideally inclusive, proactive and interdisciplinary.
NMAP is working to assess the state of planning for adaptation and resiliency in Canadian local governments, develop case studies, and generate applied knowledge for advancing community adaptation planning. In Canada there are a range of organizations and government agencies that are addressing different aspects of adaptation and developing examples and guidelines. Our approach is to develop a comprehensive image of the state of planning and the needs of local governments.
Learning about climate change
The New York Times has posted a series of articles about climate change. The series, titled 'Temperature Rising', may be accessed by clicking here.
The rapid transition from a society of individual fishermen and hunters to an economy supported by corporate mining raises difficult questions. How would Greenland’s insular settlements tolerate an influx of thousands of Polish or Chinese construction workers, as has been proposed? Will mining despoil a natural environment essential to Greenland’s national identity — the whales and seals, the silent icy fjords, and mythic polar bears? Can fishermen reinvent themselves as miners? Click here to see the slide presentation from the New York Times.
From the Rio Earth Summit in 1992 to this June's conference, how has the UN summit process evolved? Sustainability pioneers reflect on the shift of focus from the environment to sustainable development and discuss how business has become an essential element. Click here to see the video, posted on the Guardian website
Canada has withdrawn from the Kyoto Protocol. The Canadian environment minister said that Kyoto did not represent the way forward for Canada. Canada, Japan and Russia have said they would not accept new Kyoto commitments. Click here to see the video, posted on the Guardian website
UN climate talks ended with an agreement to work towards a legally enforceable deal, covering all countries, to take effect by 2020. Management of a fund for climate aid to poor countries has also been agreed, though how to raise the money has not. Click here to see the video, posted on the BBC website
Researchers in Chile have released time-lapse footage of the dramatic retreat of a glacier in Patagonia. The footage, which shows a yearly cycle of the Jorge Montt Glacier, demonstrates that the glacier is melting - at a rate the scientists say is faster than any other in Chile. Click here to see the video, posted on the BBC website.
Image above: Many parts of the Vancouver are region are at risk for flooding. A key adaptation planning need for many Canadian communities is the development of 'adaptation infrastructure' and resiliency plans for higher water, and more frequent high water events.
Adaptation News 2014
NEW: Are Canadian local governments ready for the impacts of climate change? Canada may be a nation unprepared. The results of the NMAP Survey of Canadian Local Governments has been released. Click here to see the fact sheets.
ARE WE MISSING THE BIG PICTURE on climate change? Stories
about smaller environmental problems can distract us from the
slow-motion calamity that will eventually threaten every living being. From the New York Times, click here to read the essay.
GLACIER NATIONAL PARK, Montana — What will it be called once the glaciers are gone? A century ago, this sweep of mountains on the Canadian border boasted some 150 ice sheets, many of them scores of feet thick, plastered across summits and tucked into rocky fissures high above parabolic valleys. Today, perhaps 25 survive.
In 30 years, there may be none.
For all the pronouncements about the United States and China reaching a historic climate pact, the agreement they announced Wednesday does not signal a seismic shift in policies by either nation, experts said.
FallTHE UNITED STATES AND CHINA should both be able to meet the stated goals by aggressively pursuing policies that are largely in place, analysts said. From the NYT. see also...
The US-China deal on carbon emissions received a broadly positive response in China in the media and from experts.
While the Chinese press mostly carried news stories about the deal and not much analysis in comparison to the western press, it was was welcoming of a deal some described as “historic”. From the Guardian.
A NEW STUDY has appeared which describes a clever method for measuring the flows of
ocean currents and their impacts on ice shelves. This study has
identified a major mechanism for melting ice in the Southern Hemisphere. From the Guardian.
THE COLLAPSE OF LARGE PARTS of the ice sheet in West Antarctica appears to have begun and is almost certainly unstoppable, with global warming accelerating the pace of the disintegration, two groups of scientists have reported. The finding, which had been feared by some scientists for decades, means that a rise in global sea level of at least 10 feet may now be inevitable. The rise may continue to be relatively slow for at least the next century or so, the scientists said, but sometime after that it will probably speed up so sharply as to become a crisis.
“This is really happening,” said Thomas P. Wagner, who runs NASA’s programs on polar ice and helped oversee some of the research. “There’s nothing to stop it now. But you are still limited by the physics of how fast the ice can flow.” From the NYT.
Arguments that the climate is relatively insensitive to the increased
greenhouse effect have become the last best chance for climate
change contrarians, but a new study from Texas A&M University hammers a big nail in the coffin of that argument. From the Guardian.
UNILEVER, SHELL, BP AND EDF ENERGY are among 70 leading companies
calling on governments across the globe to step up efforts to
tackle climate change. The companies, which have a combined
turnover of $90bn, say the world needs a "rapid and focused response" to
the threat of rising global carbon emissions and the "disruptive
climate impacts" associated with their growth. From the Guardian.
ALSO, The American Association for the Advancement of Science, the world’s largest general scientific society, has released a stark report Tuesday on climate change. The report
warns that the effects of human emissions of heat-trapping gases are
already being felt, that the ultimate consequences could be dire, and
that the window to do something about it is closing. From the NYT.
U.S. FEDERAL OFFICIALS are proposing sweeping new requirements
for American health care facilities — from large hospitals to small
group homes for the mentally disabled — intended to ensure their
readiness to care for patients during disasters. From the NYT.
EFFORTS TO TACKLE CLIMATE CHANGE must urgently focus on implementing low carbon technologies such as
wind and solar power rather than discussions of the science and quarrels
over policy, the former United Nations climate chief has said. From the Guardian.
US PRESIDENT OBAMA'S annual budget request to Congress will propose a
significant change in how the government pays to fight wildfires,
administration officials said, a move that they say reflects the ways in
which climate change is increasing the risk for and cost of those fires. From the NYT.
THE JACOBSHAVEN GLACIER - widely thought to have spawned the
iceberg that sank the Titanic - is moving about four times faster than
it was in the 1990s. The Greenland Ice Sheet has seen record melting in recent years and would raise sea levels 6m were it all to vanish. Details of the research are published in The Cryosphere journal. From the BBC.
WITH NO SIGN OF RAIN, 17 rural communities providing water to 40,000
people are in danger of running out within 60 to 120 days. California state
officials said that the number was likely to rise in the months ahead
after the State Water Project, the main municipal water distribution
system, announced on Friday that it did not have enough water to
supplement the dwindling supplies of local agencies that provide water
to an additional 25 million people. From the NYT.
CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE IMPACTS ON BUSINESS. After a decade of increasing damage to Coca-Cola's balance sheet as
global droughts dried up the water needed to produce its soda, the
company has embraced the idea of climate change as an economically
disruptive force. Coke reflects a growing view among American business leaders and
mainstream economists who see global warming as a force that contributes
to lower gross domestic products, higher food and commodity costs,
broken supply chains and increased financial risk. Their position is at
striking odds with the longstanding argument, advanced by the coal
industry and others, that policies to curb carbon emissions are more
economically harmful than the impact of climate change. From the NYT.
SEVERE WEATHER DISRUPTIONS ACROSS CANADA over the past year caused insurers to pay out a record $3.2 billion in claims, the industry says. The ice storm that hit southern Ontario and then Eastern Canada caused $200 million worth of insured losses, bringing the total to $3.2 billion for all of 2013. That's the highest level the insurance industry has ever seen. From the CBC.
SCIENTISTS POINT TO UNMISTAKEABLE EVIDENCE that global sea levels are rising and could increase as much as three feet by end of century, particularly if greenhouse gas emissions continue unchecked; rising tides pose enormous risk for United States, particularly along East Coast, where much of population and economy is concentrated. From the NYT.
CLIMATE SCIENTIST TELL U.S. SENATE that climate change is a 'clear and present danger'. In a Senate hearing on President Obama's Climate Action Plan, Andrew Dessler (Texas A&M University) summarised the science behind the climate threat before the Senate committee hearings about the proposed climate action plan. From the Guardian.
THE UK'S RUN OF RAIN-DRENCHED SUMMERS could be ended by a slow-down in major Atlantic currents which bring warm, wet air to Europe, according to research. The currents were known to have weakened since 2004 but the new work suggests the trend began in the 1990s and shows no sign of ending. From the Guardian.
SEVERE DROUGHT IN CALIFORNIA leads to emergency declaration. From the NYT.
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